Climate change, security & foreign policy

June 25, 2007

Just a quick note from here in London. My Chatham House Briefing Paper “How climate change is pushing the boundaries of security and foreign policy” has just been released. Thought you might find it interesting. Cleo Paskal

June 26

I have been officially dubbed a foreign policy wonk by The Guardian.
I can retire now and get back to reviewing spas….

3 Comments on "Climate change, security & foreign policy"

  1. Diana Thébaud Nicholson July 12, 2007 at 8:38 pm ·

    From: ahmed djoghlaf
    Sent: Thursday, June 28, 2007 10:48 AM
    Subject: RE: Climate change, security & foreign policy


    Thanks a lot . very useful indeed. ahmed

  2. Diana Thébaud Nicholson July 12, 2007 at 8:40 pm ·

    From: David Mitchell
    Sent: Tuesday, June 26, 2007 9:56 PM

    Dear Diana

    It was indeed a pleasure to read Cleo’s paper. Fascinating how she intertwined so many perspectives and expanded the nature of the potential problem. (Wouldn’t it be great to live another 50 years to see how it all turns out? ) Chatham House, the Royal Institute of International Affairs, is a very prestigious organization. Congratulations to Cleo for being asked and for doing such a fine job. Thank you for sharing it.

  3. Diana Thébaud Nicholson July 12, 2007 at 8:44 pm ·

    —–Original Message—–
    Sent: Wednesday, June 27, 2007 8:37 AM
    Subject: enjoyed Cleo Paskal’s paper on climate change, security & foreign policy

    I read it with interest and think that she made many useful valid points. The key lies in the demographics — I still remember the NSF lecture at which a top US population-resources expert opined that the best population figure for the worlds ecology was 1.5 billion and 150 million for the US. I would also add that this seems to be the cycle of life in a closed ecosystem (as we cant settle in space) — the mathematics is brutal — excess of one, catastrophic crash, rebound, mad growth, excess…and so on. There is also the “black swan” (Nassim Nicholas Taleb – also wrote Fooled by Randomness) aspect — totally unexpected events that set off these mad changes — plague, massive earthquakes, tsunamis, asteroid strikes and if ever there is a future massive nuclear war — nuclear winter.
    love, terry

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